A rules-based trend system · 19 years of evidence

The market has weather. Most portfolios sail straight into the storm.

Be positioned for growth while the market's trend is strong. Move to defensive assets when it turns. You get one clear signal near the close of each trading day and place the trade in your own account. We never touch your money.

You trade in your own account, and we never touch your money. Cancel anytime.

26.5%
Return / year
$1.06M
$10k since 2007
0.92
Sharpe ratio
−40%
Worst drawdown
Growth of $10,000 · log scale TRADEWINDS&P 500
Backtested 2007–2026, net of realistic costs · not a live track record
FAIR WINDS: positioned for growth
Trend confirmed · barometer steady
Sample daily signal
The insight

You don't beat the market by predicting it. You beat it by knowing when to leave.

Buy and hold rides every boom and every crash all the way down. In 2008 the S&P 500 fell 55%. It took years to come back.

TRADEWIND reads the market's weather once a day. When conditions favor growth, you are positioned for it. When they turn dangerous, you move to defensive assets and wait. Decisive moves when the weather turns, no noise in between.

TRADEWIND
−40%
S&P 500
−55%

Worst drop, 2007 to 2026. We recover from a shallower hole, and faster.

The system

Three conditions. One position. Read the weather, set the sail.

Like a captain reading the barometer, the system classifies the market into one state each day and holds exactly one position to match it.

Force 1–3 · Fair winds

Fair conditions

The weather favors growth. Carry full sail.

→ Hold the growth position
Force 4–6 · Building seas

Building seas

The seas turn rough. The system reefs the sails before the worst of it.

→ Reduce risk / safe harbor
Force 7+ · Storm

Storm

The storm is confirmed. Drop anchor in defensive assets and wait it out.

→ Go defensive
The track record

Nineteen years, every crisis included.

2008, 2020, 2022. The numbers below run through every crash since 2007, after realistic trading costs.

Strategy$10,000 becameReturn / yrSharpeWorst drop
TRADEWIND$1,007,41726.5%0.92−40%
S&P 500 (buy & hold)$76,35711.0%0.63−55%

Backtested January 2007 to August 2026, after realistic trading costs. This is a backtest, not a live track record. Past performance does not predict future results. See disclosures below.

The math, honestly

What could compounding do?

A projection, not a promise. It compounds the backtested rate. The real future will differ.

At the backtested 26.5% / year
$119,000
from $10,000 over 10 years
If it ran half as hot (14%/yr)$37,100
Total multiple11.9×

Compounding is not a guarantee. The same strategy went through drops of about 40% along the way, and the next decade may look nothing like the last. Invest only what you can hold through a deep drawdown.

Membership

The signal in your hands. Your money stays yours.

The daily signal

Each trading day, near the close, see exactly what to hold: stay put, switch, or go defensive. Most days it says hold. The day it changes is the day that matters.

Alerts when it changes

The moment the signal moves, you get an email and Telegram alert, so you never miss the trade that matters most.

Live dashboard

Watch the strategy's performance in real time: position, return, and drawdown.

You stay in control

You place every trade in your own account. We never hold a dollar of your money.

Membership

Founding membership.

The first one hundred members lock this rate for as long as they stay subscribed. The price rises as the live track record grows — founders keep theirs.

Founding · Monthly
$49$19/mo
Save 61% — founders keep this rate forever
Try free for 7 days · cancel anytime
  • The daily signal: exactly what to hold
  • Email & Telegram alerts the moment it changes
  • Live reference-account dashboard
  • Your rate never rises while you stay
Start free trial
Best value
Founding · Yearly
$490$190/yr
Save $300 a year — under $16/mo
Try free for 7 days · cancel anytime
  • Everything in the monthly plan
  • Two months free versus paying monthly
  • Founding rate, locked while you stay
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Questions

Straight answers.

Do you ever touch my money?
Never. You keep your money in your own brokerage account and place each trade yourself, a handful per year. We have no access to your funds. That is why this isn't money management.
How bad can the drawdowns get?
Real. The strategy uses leverage in uptrends, and over the backtest it fell about 40% from a peak before recovering, shallower than buy and hold's 55%. Deeper drops are possible: leverage means a future loss can exceed anything in the backtest. It is not for money you will need next year. Size your position to something you could hold through a drop of half its value.
Is this a backtest or live results?
The headline numbers are a backtest over January 2007 to August 2026, after realistic costs. It is not an audited live track record. The live signal is now trading forward, and you can watch it in your dashboard.
How often do I have to do anything?
Not often. Most days the answer is simply hold, and there is nothing to watch. You get a short daily brief after each market close, and when the signal actually changes you get a clear action alert by email and Telegram. The trade takes about a minute.
What am I really paying for?
The moves that matter. When the market turns, one timely defensive move can matter more than years of fees. In between, you get a daily all-clear so you can hold through the scary days without second-guessing. You are paying to never miss the move, and to stop watching the market yourself.
What do I need to get started?
A regular brokerage account that can buy common ETFs (a free Robinhood account works). No options, no margin, no shorting. Just buying and selling a fund.
Is this financial advice?
No. TRADEWIND publishes a systematic signal for educational use. It isn't personalized investment advice and doesn't account for your circumstances. You are responsible for your own decisions. Please read the disclosures below and consider speaking with a licensed advisor.

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